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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2017 14:33:03 GMT -6
So the top of the Horizon is\was better than the Summit last year. But the middle & bottom was owned by the Summit. I think one thing that can't be ignored is the coaching transitions that all of the Horizon programs excluding Oakland have faced. In our 4 years in the conference, every Horizon school except us has had a head coaching change. An obvious advantage for the Summit is the fact that all of the Dakota schools are flagship schools of those states. Their resources are more extensive than most of the Horizon schools. I do see this as a temporary dowward trend for the Horizon. Of course with Valpo saying goodbye there is is some uncertainty with who will replace them. The coaching changes, in my opinion, have been good for the league and were needed. Of the changes at UIC, Wright State, Milwaukee, NKU (although it was just before coming into the HL)and even Detroit there was a difference, if not in the win totals, in the culture and direction of each of those programs. I think going forward, the HL will regain its supremacy over the Summit and further distance itself from the OVC. It doesn't matter that the Summit have flagships schools. 4 schools does not a conference make. When SDSU falters, what happens to the Summit then? Fort Wayne has been pretty consistent over the past 5 years, but how long can they sustain? I'm not worried about the Summit. I need to be careful with my opinions though, before I'm called a "fool" again.
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Post by ougrizz05 on May 22, 2017 14:41:46 GMT -6
Regarding coaching changes, my main point was that it alters a program. Students leave, some transfer in. The system is different,scheduling philosophoes change, etc. .
Being a flagship school does matter. From a resources standpoint, from a perception standpoint, having the respect of your state and region. As a high school student, your perception is shaped by your environment. If in said environment you are able to attend the top school in your state, that is a more celebrated achievement than attending a middle of the pack school in your state, and or a directional school.
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2017 14:54:29 GMT -6
Come on Big DWSU. I think you're over reacting just a bit. First of all, just like any individual, company or entity, we fans are just coming up with as many feasible and reasonable options as possible. If that includes a D2 program or two down the road, then so be it. What's wrong with identifying potential D2 programs that could be good D1 programs in short order? I remember a couple of posters who shall remain nameless, were quite leery of adding NKU when they were added. One said to wait on bringing them in because they would do nothing but anchor the League with its potentially horrendous RPI. That was only for 1 year. Another poster said that NKU was "butt". Needless to say, NKU turned out to be a better team than the respective schools of both those posters. I know it was only one season, but the numbers were there. We don't know how programs will turn out. If the League had waited on NKU, maybe they stay in the A-Sun or the OVC reconsiders and invites them. Secondly, what 2 or 3 teams would leave the conference? Detroit? Don't think so. They've done nothing to make themselves appealing, although some of its fans think they're entitled. Milwaukee? Make no mistake, the Panthers were not and will not be going to another conference. What the MVC was doing was a farce with smoke and mirrors. UWM has finally settled on a rental arena; they have a non D1 baseball complex with no set up for even ESPN3; no men's golf or tennis; no softball and turmoil within the athletic department. Wright State? With the budget problems being had there, realigning with another conference would be years down the road when there is better financial footing, if at all. Wouldn't be wise right now because WSU would have to negotiate exit and entrance fees. Youngstown State? Sure they could maybe work out something with the MAC or another Eastern-based conference...but who would care? They're football first anyway! The other teams aren't going anywhere either. One reason is there really is no place that any of us can go. The Summit? OVC? A-10? The MVC is not expanding again anytime soon. Regardless of all this expansion talk, the only real answer to a better Horizon League is internal improvement from all 9 programs. Nothing less than a commitment to academic and athletic excellence will do. Chuck, First, we are discussing HL expansion NOW, not 10 years from now. SIU may be a a good program to add to the HL in the distant future but they couldn't help the HL for at least 8 years since they haven't even started the transition to D1. True. But as I said, like any good company, entity or individual, all exhaustible scenarios are laid out. As some on this board like to bash the HL, maybe the League is not good enough for those other candidates to join...then what? What if the other mid-majors think the HL is now just a lateral move or even a step lower? Then what? Second, you are a fool if you don't think multiple teams could/would leave the HL if the conference made a dumb ass decision like add a D2 team now. You don't think many HL teams have options. There is one staring most of us in the face now that would be an immediate upgrade and could be done within a few hours. If you haven't noticed the SL has finished ahead of us the last 2 years. Now that Valpo is gone that divide is going to be even further. If we add 1-3 crappy teams that bring down the conference even further, you don't think our top teams will take a serious look at going to the SL? I'll just be a fool then Big DWSU, because I don't think 2-3 HL teams will leave! I don't think we'll add 1-3 crappy teams to the league and also I would like to think that the teams we already have in the HL will get better to bring the conference RPI up, not relying on new teams to do it! For the Summit...two years does not dominance make. Third, In regards to Wright State, you don't know what you are talking about. Did you happen to take a look at the most recent article about the budget cuts at WSU that I posted on the main board here? We cut our swimming and diving programs. We are saving 500K by dropping those sports and we are also increased our overall athletic budget by 1.6 million for a 2.1 million net gain. I'm pretty sure we could pay the HL buyout and pay an entry fee to the SL or OVC and still have money to spare if we decided to make a change in conferences. I saw the article, but I also saw where you even questioned your own athletic department's intentions. Sure they can probably pay exit and entrance fees, but why when you're trying to become more fiscally responsible? That $500,000 savings would be eaten up by the HL exit fee and the $1,000,000 of the 1.6 million will probably be devoured by entrance fee to the new conference. Again...why? I also didn't say you guys would NEVER move, but I still don't think 2-3 teams would leave right away. I'm not trying to bust any HL team's balls, but just giving my opinions like everybody else. If that makes me a fool or a person that doesn't know what he's talking about, well...it is what it is! But know that I don't take offense to anything being said. I enjoy the back and forth. It's all good!
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Post by Deleted on May 22, 2017 15:03:37 GMT -6
Regarding coaching changes, my main point was that it alters a program. Students leave, some transfer in. The system is different,scheduling philosophoes change, etc. . Being a flagship school does matter. From a resources standpoint, from a perception standpoint, having the respect of your state and region. As a high school student, your perception is shaped by your environment. If in said environment you are able to attend the top school in your state, that is a more celebrated achievement than attending a middle of the pack school in your state, and or a directional school. I feel you on that, but who the hell really wants to go to Siberia, er...I mean the Dakotas for basketball in the winter? They really are getting into the Dance mainly because of the home court advantage. They're not getting recruits from the hotbeds of recruiting. Scott Nagy, Sutton from ORU (since fired) and the coach from Fort Wayne have done a good job. I still believe that if a program is a winning program they will continue to draw quality recruits. Villanova (not a flagship), Creighton (not a flagship), Butler (not a flagship), Xavier (not a flagship), Cincinnati (not a flagship), Gonzaga (not a flagship), Dayton (not a flagship) have found a formula to winning and making themselves relevant. If they can do it so can Horizon League teams! 3 of those programs were once in the HL, so there's proof that it can be done!
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Post by PantherU.com on May 24, 2017 15:27:58 GMT -6
True. But as I said, like any good company, entity or individual, all exhaustible scenarios are laid out. As some on this board like to bash the HL, maybe the League is not good enough for those other candidates to join...then what? What if the other mid-majors think the HL is now just a lateral move or even a step lower? Then what? So what, we just add teams to add them? That's how we got Youngstown State. We didn't get Valpo because their AD was the Mid-Con commissioner's dad. We couldn't get Oakland because they were new and Detroit wouldn't accept them. So instead of staying at eight, the Executive Council had a knee-jerk reaction - one that we've been paying for over and over for 16 years. What if USI comes to D-I and they suck, like SIU-Edwardsville? What if they never get attendance going because Evansville is too small to support two D-I teams? The Horizon League isn't a halfway house. But if you keep considering USI for the vacant spot then this conference might as well be. I'll just be a fool then Big DWSU, because I don't think 2-3 HL teams will leave! I don't think we'll add 1-3 crappy teams to the league and also I would like to think that the teams we already have in the HL will get better to bring the conference RPI up, not relying on new teams to do it! For the Summit...two years does not dominance make. Honestly, 2-3 might be the minimum. Big DWSU said 'immediately,' and in the five years following such an addition you could see half the conference get out of Dodge. Hell, UIC would probably be one of the teams getting a move-on. I saw the article, but I also saw where you even questioned your own athletic department's intentions. Sure they can probably pay exit and entrance fees, but why when you're trying to become more fiscally responsible? That $500,000 savings would be eaten up by the HL exit fee and the $1,000,000 of the 1.6 million will probably be devoured by entrance fee to the new conference. Again...why? I also didn't say you guys would NEVER move, but I still don't think 2-3 teams would leave right away. I would be willing to bet all the money in my pockets that Wright State would not be on the hook for an entry fee into a new conference. The Horizon League exit fee is $500k, and if the option is to stay or go somewhere better, they may just do it. I can think of several programs in the conference that could make such a move. I'm not trying to bust any HL team's balls, but just giving my opinions like everybody else. If that makes me a fool or a person that doesn't know what he's talking about, well...it is what it is! But know that I don't take offense to anything being said. I enjoy the back and forth. It's all good! You're right not to get offended by the 'fool' comment, Chuck. It wasn't personal. But you have to know that Big DWSU isn't wrong about USI - they very well may be a good addition in 2027, but it's not 2027. It's 2017. I know that you're seeing the map the same way we are in Milwaukee - having a team in Indiana keeps the conference together geographically. But adding a completely unproven team to bridge the gap just because of geography is as foolhardy as adding IUPUI because they're a big urban public research institution. There's more to it than that. We have plenty of candidates. None of them are going to light the world on fire. And it's been said here that the conference as a whole needs to elevate its basketball, which we can all agree on 100%. But we can't just add teams to add teams. They have to be able to strengthen our men's basketball product.
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Post by gbphoenix1 on May 24, 2017 21:27:57 GMT -6
I think it is important to look at a program and see what is under the hood. We won't know until after it happens who will really be successful or not but when I see YSU and SIUE I see teams that are likely to struggle. When I see NKU and USI I see teams that are likely to be competitive. Look at the difference.
YSU has no real history of success in any level of hoops. They play in a giant high school gym, which is indicative of not enough people caring so they don't need to upgrade or rebuild. Their average crowd size hasn't been good in 30 years. I have been to SIUE. They renovated a high school gym, have a limited history of succes, are in a town of 25,000 people (more so than it is in Stl) and is a school with no money. Other than these schools landing a good coach here or there they haven't had success as a program.
NKU and USI built or are building very nice basketball arenas. Have had success at the lower levels for a long time under multiple coaches. Are located in markets that like hoops. Are located in markets that are big enough to support 3500 people or more going to a game. In the case of USI they currently play in a high school level gym and get 1500+ people on average and for better games get 2500+ people.
From where I sit the difference is very obvious. Some schools don't have what I would consider a program in place and are not worth the risk, others do have a program and are worth the risk. We can disagree on this stuff but USI looks more like NDSU or SD than SIUE. As we are now seeing it is hard to get good programs once they are settled. That is why you have to have some vision and see what they could be and not what they are.
Don't get me wrong, I would prefer Belmont or Murray State but if that doesn't/can't happen USI doesn't look like the worst plan. If they make a move HL fans won't have to wait until 2027 for them to be good.
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Post by gbphoenix1 on May 25, 2017 7:54:25 GMT -6
Something that doesn't sit well with me is the idea of USI not being good for 10 years. I don't know for sure if or when they would be good. I just know there are several ways they could be good sooner. NKU was dancing in year 5.
Here are some ideas. If they made the move for 2019-20. In there recruiting class for 2018-19 they could take in all D1 transfers who have played two years or less. In this idea of recruiting they could enter D1 with a roster of guys who are D1 level and would have one or more years left to play in 2019-20. For any high school recruits they have, use a redshirt year immediately. They could preserve a year of eligibility that would later be used at the D1 level. Given the state of the world use the fact that if they graduate in four years they can transfer up. At some point the mid majors who embrace this might end up getting the best mid major talent. Use the rules to get 3 good years out of a kid and then help him move on. Plus they could go with a tried and true method to reload and bring in some JUCO players. Look how quickly Steve Forbes reloaded ETSU using transfers and JUCO players. I know in my scenario the team can't dance right away and that will limit the pool of options but there are still enough kids who will want to play D1 and might be interested. If they just try to transition with a D2 roster sure it will be rough but there is plenty of options they can use to have a better talent pool and not be an RPI anchor on day one.
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2017 10:01:39 GMT -6
I ain't mad atcha gbp1, I think that's a good idea and I'm relatively sure some coaches have put that into effect. That wouldn't be bad at all. Again though, people just don't really know about a program, their history, finances, desire, drive, etc. A great majority of HL posters thought it was a bad idea to bring NKU aboard. Now some are saying they were for it all along. Sometimes I just go with the flow. Posters talk down about the HL and how bad it's gotten, but expect other mid-majors to want to come...that doesn't make sense! They're going against they're going against their own belief/criticism! If they truly believe the conference has turned to crap, then D2s would be the only ones interested anyway!!! They can't have it both ways. Let me stop. I feel myself about to go on a venting tangent.
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Post by freewind on May 25, 2017 12:24:39 GMT -6
I'm just really interested in how many teams get added, in the past we've always just added one but there was always a good all around university that was in the footprint that fit all our needs/wants and i don't think we have a clear picture of a university doing that so i'm thinking it might be 3 to add stability. I don't like that idea but i think it may help maintaining a stable conference. On a random thought note, if we added 3 teams, say Fort Wayne, RMU, and MoreheadSt/Belmont. Would it be possible to have 4 groups of 3 travel partners and do 3 away and then 3 home games or is that too much? like Wisconsin Schools & UIC/Michigan Schools & FW/ Clev, YSU, RMU/ WSU & Kentucky Schools. Just random thought.
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2017 13:00:09 GMT -6
For what it's worth, Commissioner Jonathan LeCrone, in today's Horizon League press conference, said the League will more than likely stay at 9 teams for the '17-'18 season. He said it could be possible to get a 10th team in for next season, but in all probability, they'll stay at 9. By '19-'20, he's saying the HL should be at 12 teams. He also said the HL's financial status is quite robust...they've got money!
He said the HL can't go any farther North. They are looking East, South, Southeast, Soutwest and West. "...current membership plan could contemplate moving out of our current geographic region". To alleviate huge travel burdens, the HL would go to divisions.
He said the HL's thinking on expansion is, "...a merging brand, existing good basketball brands and the timing as well...". He mentioned that there was a change in the NCAA revenue distribution structure and those funds would be distributed by academics. He wants the new members to be able to qualify for that revenue. Competitiveness, Academics and the ability to garner that Financial Revenue Stream are the bigger factors than geography.
With that being said, I'm thinking GCU (a merging brand), NMSU and Robert Morris (existing good basketball brands) are still in the mix.
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Post by ysuindy on May 25, 2017 14:52:30 GMT -6
YSU has no real history of success in any level of hoops. They play in a giant high school gym, which is indicative of not enough people caring so they don't need to upgrade or rebuild. Their average crowd size hasn't been good in 30 years. Look - I've got nothing to bring to the table as for the last 30 years, but to say YSU has no real history of success in any level of hoops is just not correct. In the Division I era Mike Rice had them play in two consecutive OVC championship games losing each by three points. Dom Roselli coached from the end of World War II until 1982. He won 583 of 977 games. From 1962-72, in an era of 25 to 28 game season, YSU never lost more than 9 games and never won less than 17 games. YSU made the NAIA Final Eight twice in that time and made the Division II playoffs nine times. From 1956 to 1981 YSU had three losing seasons. I get there were no lower level Final Fours and after the first five years or so they've been a horrible Division 1 program. But to say no success at any level, just isn't right Problem is I am one of the few people who can remember that era. AS for the arena, I would much rather they stay there on campus on play in a school owned arena, than go downtown to the Covelli Center just to say they play in a "fancy" arena. Beeghly's not going anywhere for a long time even if Calhoun starts selling the place out. The money just isn't there to build a new arena any time soon.
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Post by gbphoenix1 on May 25, 2017 15:32:51 GMT -6
I did my research before I wrote that. I don't count conference championship games as sustained success. Plus Mike Rice Sr had a .528 winning percentage in his five years. I wouldn't call that success.
I get that Dom Roselli was there a long time. He made 9 trips to the D2 tournament in 21 years in D2. Fine, you can call that sustained success. The program wasn't very good before Dom. They have one CIT appearance in 35 years and 6 coaches after Dom. It would seem that Dom is more of a long tenured exception and not the rule.
The Beeghly is the worst in the league but that doesn't bother me. Rather it is the apathy behind letting be the worst in the league that bothers me. Arena's are for fans, a bragging point, a sign that we the people give a care about our programs. In 16 years in the HL the Beeghly continues to lose ground, that isn't a good sign in my opinion for the strength of the program.
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Post by gbphoenix1 on May 25, 2017 15:53:07 GMT -6
A few additional points that I thought were interesting. LeCrone bragged about Motor City Madness and talked about how great the ESPN deal is. So for those who hate those two things it might be awhile before those change or go away. The good news is that he made no mistake about it, Men's basketball is driving the decisions for the league. I appreciate that view point.
The fact that they are presenting 9 team schedules and Motor City Madness formats to the AD's next week tells me that despite LeCrone leaving the door open the league is pretty sure a 10th member is not coming this year.
What was interesting is to me is the timing, the criteria and the divisional play limiting cost for Olympic sports. He thought 10 for 18-19 and maybe 12 members for 19-20 and beyond. He mentioned researching 12, 14 and 16 member league formats. So the timing with waiting a year to get on with expansion, is that to allow a prospect to notify on more favorable financial terms? Is that to allow each current member to get a little extra league money to help offset future travel costs? Is that just because they aren't able to lineup their top priorities just yet? There are so many questions that could have been asked that weren't by the few media members participating on the line.
As for the criteria mentioned about emerging and existing brands, I am fascinated by emerging and what that means to the league office. What does an emerging brand need to demonstrate to the league? When I think of emerging brands I think CGU, the Dakotas or Omaha. When I think of existing brands I think of Belmont, Murray State, NMSU or RMU. Most of the rest of the potential member list doesn't fit either category.
The divisional play comments about non geographic fitting expansion almost makes me think the expansion would have to be west and big. You can't expand west and have fair cost divisional play for Olympic sports without having 4 members at least. For example you can't invite Omaha, NMSU and CGU while expecting only Milwaukee, UIC and GB for example to travel their Olympic teams out there while the rest of the league is on a bus. Now if you get Denver, Omaha, KC, NMSU and CGU they could play in their own division as part of a format that could make sense for the rest of the current HL members.
The call was long on conjecture and short on answers. The good news is that It looks like we will have a few years to debate what the league could and should do.
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Post by gbphoenix1 on May 26, 2017 7:52:55 GMT -6
What was interesting is to me is the timing, the criteria and the divisional play limiting cost for Olympic sports. He thought 10 for 18-19 and maybe 12 members for 19-20 and beyond. He mentioned researching 12, 14 and 16 member league formats. So the timing with waiting a year to get on with expansion, is that to allow a prospect to notify on more favorable financial terms? Is that to allow each current member to get a little extra league money to help offset future travel costs? Is that just because they aren't able to lineup their top priorities just yet? Or he isn't close to landing anyone for the HL and is just blowing smoke up your ass so he can buy another year or 2 before the HL presidents shit can his ass. Or there is that which I was trying to avoid with a positive spin! Besides, I call BS on this theory. LeCrone has USI in his back pocket if he wants them! Also, LeCrone has the best job security in the world. He just has to impress people on a 3 to 5 year basis. It doesn't matter if you are a head coach, athletic director or the president of a university. For most of these positions they are stepping stones to bigger things. So LeCrone just needs to last longer than his constituents which he seems to manage to do.
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Post by freewind on May 26, 2017 11:02:04 GMT -6
www.mydaytondailynews.com/sports/horizon-leagues-eyes-expansion-valpo-departs-for-missouri-valley/Pgx8nX8pLJPv4xFwSzL9OK/The ideal scenario, LeCrone said, is to add enough teams to allow the league to move to a divisional alignment. “That really helps our student-athlete experience because divisional play is really the way you mitigate cross-country travel, particular for the Olympic sports to try to keep them closer to home,” he said, adding that the commitment in men’s basketball will be to try to get as many teams as possible to maintain a double round-robin schedule.LeCrone made it clear men’s basketball will be the driving force, but not the only one, when it comes to inviting new members. I think he really wants to move the footprint far if he's so gunhoe about divisions in the conference. He's probably looking to go way out West.
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